We’re in a recession; actually, we’ve been in one for the past year, but no official agency decided to tell us. Perhaps "they" wanted to wait until after the November ’08 Presidential election?
The declaration of recession is the official news from The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), whose mind-numbingly-titled press release, Determination of the December 2007 Peak in Economic Activity, provides the following important details:
* The Business Cycle Dating Committee of NBER met by conference call on 11/28 to discuss whether the U.S. economy was in recession.
* The group figured out that the U.S. economy "peaked" in December 2007.
* They calculated that the 12/07 peak ended the economic expansion that started in November 2001, lasting 73 months.
* The previous expansion in the 1990s lasted 120 months (that would include, but not be limited to, The Clinton Era).
* Other measures of a declining economy — including personal income less transfer payments, real manufacturing and wholesale-retail trade sales, industrial production, and employment estimates based on the U.S. household survey — also peaked some time in the past 13 months.